Day 100 of the Russia-Ukraine War

Historians will agonize over when the Russia-Ukrainin War actually started; but as Russia’s February 24 breach of Ukraine’s borders has been deemed by our media as Day One, let’s run with that. This makes June 4, Day 100.  

Western war reportage can be predicted a week in advance by the simple expediency of reading Russian Ministry of Defence communiques. For instance, Russian news outlets detailed the demise of Ukrainian forces in Mariupol, complete with video of thousands of troops surrendering, a week before our media begrudgingly conceded this fact. This time lag repeats regularly, lending credence to Russian claims.

Conversely, Ukraine’s Centre for Information and Psychological Operations (the source of much media malarky) has been caught inserting video game clips into its pressers, and producing disinformation howlers like the ‘Ghost of Kiev’ fighter ace fables. They stage mock battles for propaganda.

Their most persistent myth has Ukrainian forces beating back Russian attempts to overrun Kiev and Kharkiv. In reality, Russian maneuverings around those cities were ruses. These feints superbly misdirected Ukrainian military assets at the expense of shoring-up forces along the eastern front.

How do we know this?

At no time did Russia have less than 15,000 crack troops enmeshed in the brutal 3-month Battle of Mariupol. At no time did Russia have as many as 15,000 troops in Kiev’s environs – a city 8 times Mariupol’s size. The Russians never assembled adequate forces to assault Kiev.

Circa Day 40, Russian forces north of Kiev and Kharkiv u-turned back to Belarus then wheeled around to flank Ukraine’s eastern front where Russia now enjoys a 7-to-1 troop advantage. Ukraine’s legendary re-capturing of territory north of Kiev and Kharkiv consisted of shotless excursions into vacated villages and farmland. Nevertheless, this nothing-burger is relentlessly mongered as Ukraine’s pivotal triumph.

How do we know the Ukrainians are preposterously lying and that Russian accounts are closer to the truth?

By every expert opinion the Russian Air Force is a modern, massive enterprise seconded only by their American counterpart. Ukraine’s air force barely ranked before February 24. Since then, 16 of its airfields, and 186 of its combat aircraft, have been destroyed. Ukraine has been effectively fighting without an air force throughout this entire conflict.

Moreover, unlike America’s foreign entanglements this war is not taking place on the other side of the planet from Russia. Its happening next door. Russia can concentrate vastly more air power onto Ukraine than the Americans could on Iraq.

Furthermore, the Russians have eliminated 329 Ukrainian anti-aircraft systems and scores of radar stations.

Finally, while Ukraine boasts a 2,700-kilometre coastline, their navy didn’t survive Day One.

The Russians have fired thousands of sea-launched and air-launched precision missiles at defenseless Ukrainian positions. This war is a turkey shoot.

After Day 40 the war became primarily an artillery dual with the Russians enjoying a massive firepower advantage. Said advantage has been multiplied by the destruction of 1,768 Ukrainian field artillery guns and 464 Ukrainian rocket launchers. These losses represent well over half of what Ukraine brought to this war, and virtually all of what they deployed along the eastern front.

NATO reinforcements arrive too little too late; if they arrive at all. They often get blasted before they reach the front. Warehouses storing western munitions, and barracks housing foreign mercs, have proven to be sitting ducks.

Russian Defence Minister, Sergei Shoigu, describes the war as an opportunity to perfect the nexus between surveillance drones and artillery batteries. Drone operators spot Ukrainian troop concentrations. They immediately communicate these coordinates to gunnery captains who, as soon as possible, hammer those spots. In one recent 24-hour period Russian artillery barraged 1,100 locations.

Russia claims to have destroyed 3,399 armoured vehicles; 3,402 non-armoured military vehicles; 1,091 drones and 129 helicopters.

On March 25 Russia estimated Ukrainian casualties at 14,000 dead, 16,000 wounded. On April 16 they upped fatalityestimates to 23,000. This body-count now likely exceeds 40,000!

Ukrainian “blocker battalions” lurk behind Ukrainian lines to prevent flight, surrender, or any other real or imagined disobedience. One such battalion is dominated by ‘The Punisher’ – a notoriously trigger-happy masked sniper who is probably not a Ukrainian national and who probably deserves a Russian medal for having shot more Ukrainian soldiers than any Russian has.

Despite Punisher’s best efforts 5,000 Ukrainians have surrendered. Rumours of mutinies and other indicia of discontent abound at all ranks of Ukraine’s army. Zelensky’s neck is on the block.

This isn’t Vlad Putin’s War. This is Whitey Biden’s War and it’s a monstrous fiasco. America’s historic party of slavery and war, the Democrats, have woefully mis-stepped and repercussions will be historic.

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Featured image: U.S. allies in Ukraine, with NATO, Azov Battalion and neo-Nazi flags. Photo by russia-insider.com