Tucker Carlson primes his audience to suspect fraud if the GOP doesn’t sweep the midterms

“In a country with democratic elections, how could this party stay in power?” Carlson asked. “Honestly, we don’t know, but maybe Joe Biden does.” The Fox host then aired a clip from Biden’s speech that night, in which Biden said, “Extreme MAGA Republicans aim to question not only the legitimacy of past elections, but elections being held now and into the future.”

Carlson interpreted that for his viewers as follows: “So, here we are less than a week before the Democratic Party is expected to suffer overwhelming losses in the Midterm Elections and here you have the leader of that party, Joe Biden, commanding you not to complain about the election results.”

He went on to push a conspiracy theory about Biden reminding the public that counting votes takes time and is not the result of a conspiracy.

“Here is Joe Biden telling you that, thanks to the changes, the many changes, Democrats have made to our system of voting, all of which make voter fraud easier to commit, we may not know the results of the elections for a few days,” he said. “But don’t be alarmed — everything is completely on the level and whatever you do, do not ask questions or else you’re a criminal.”

Carlson concluded, “Biden commanded you to accept the election results whenever they arrive, no matter what they may be.”

Carlson has repeatedly suggested in recent weeks that Republican defeats in specific races, like the Pennsylvania Senate race and Arizona gubernatorial race, would be inherently suspicious, and issued full-throated defenses of denying election results. Now he’s extended that penumbra of skepticism to races across the country and pointed to a specific mechanism — the extended time needed to count votes accurately under state election laws — as a reason to doubt results where Democrats win.

It’s entirely possible Democrats will perform poorly on Tuesday. Democrats have narrow margins in both the House and the Senate, and the party that controlled the White House suffered midterm defeats in 2006, 2010, 2014, and 2018, and the Republican Party has benefited in this cycle in particular from a disciplined right-wing media ecosystem whose most prominent figures work deliberately to win elections, a factor with no analogue on the left. 

But as of Friday morning, the polling experts at FiveThirtyEight were calling the battle for Senate control a “dead heat,” and giving Democrats a small chance of retaining the House.  

Plan A for the right is to win the midterm elections at the polls, and they might pull that off. But Plan B is to delegitimize the results if they lose. GOP voters and their chosen candidates overwhelmingly and falsely claim that the 2020 election was stolen. Major players like Steve Bannon have spent the last two years both reinforcing the Republican base’s sense that election fraud explains the party’s defeats, and building an infrastructure to subvert those elections.

That’s why Biden spoke out about the threat to democracy in a Wednesday speech. “As I stand here today, there are candidates running for every level of office in America — for governor, Congress, attorney general, secretary of state — who won’t commit, they will not commit to accepting the results of the elections that they’re running in,” he said. “This is the path to chaos in America. It’s unprecedented. It’s unlawful. And it’s un-American.”

But Carlson is part of that threat, and he has been diligently working to undermine Biden’s call. On Thursday night, he claimed that the speech is evidence that Biden wants to implement a Soviet-style election system in which his party wins an overwhelming share of the vote.