Thursday, December 19, 2024

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Ukraine

Here’s Why NATO Isn’t the Strong Alliance You Thought It Was…

Guest Post by Chris MacIntosh

NATO Isn’t the Strong Alliance

Hungary is working actively to ensure their energy is independent of EU/NATO.

According to a reuters article,

Hungary will veto any European Union sanctions against Russia affecting nuclear energy, Prime Minister Viktor Orban told state radio on Friday.

Ukraine has called on the 27-nation EU to include Russian state nuclear energy company Rosatom in sanctions but Hungary, which has a Russian-built nuclear plant it plans to expand with Rosatom, has blocked that.

So what to expect?

Well, we’ll likely see a flood of “aid” to NGOs in Hungary. USAID, for example, which is a well known face to the CIA will seek to bring everything from “media freedom” to “democracy initiatives” and whatever other doublespeak is required. Within 6-8 months I suspect we will see riots in Budapest. Don’t be misled, I’m telling you this now, ahead of time. They will be instigated by the aforementioned group or groups with the ultimate goal of unseating Orban, a democratically elected and wildly popular leader or the ruling party.

The difference this time is that it appears many are onto this tried and tested and repeated strategy. It is why Orban has been taking preventative measures ahead of time. Will it be successful or will there be a “color revolution” in Hungary? I dunno, but I do know there is a war on and it’ll not be televised — at least not what is really going on. Interesting times, my friends.

Now realize what Orban is up against here. Hungary is economically tied to the EU and highly dependent on trade with it. Any split will be painful, no matter what. As such, the natural and obvious thing to do is to shore up alternative alliances in order to mitigate the inevitable pain if — or indeed when — the Hungarians decide that, as painful as it is, an exit needs to take place.

This is why we’re seeing him taking the steps he’s been taking (military and building stronger relations with both Serbia and Turkey).

Implications?

From our perspective, we’re watching the currency of this klustafuk known as the European Union.

The euro has rallied off recent lows in October of last year, but don’t be fooled, this is a currency that has every reason to fail. We expect it to continue to weaken against both Western alternatives and certainly against energy and precious metals.

What else? Well, I did note that the Hungarians have been forming some friendships with the Turks.

Hungary is committed to further strengthening economic ties with Türkiye, and is working to increase trade volume to an annual 6 billion dollars, Bertalan Havasi cited Orbán as saying. Türkiye’s stability and security are key to Europe’s stability and security, Orbán said at the meeting held in his office in Budapest, and he called on the European Union to support the country in handling challenges connected to migration.

Then we had Ankara’s interior minister tell the US, in no uncertain terms, to kick sand.

According to Middle East Eye news article, Ankara’s interior minister tells US envoy

I’m being very clear. I very well know how you would like to create strife in Turkey. Take your grinning face off from Turkey

Referring to the 2016 US led attempted coup, he had this to say:

Every US ambassador who arrives in Turkey is hurrying to find out how to make a coup possible in Turkey,

Holding nothing back for any to read between the lines…

“I address the US ambassador from here. I know the journalists you made write articles,” he added.

“Take your dirty hands off of Turkey. I’m being very clear. I very well know how you would like to create strife in Turkey. Take your grinning face off from Turkey.”

Remember, this is the US’s “trusted NATO ally” in the Middle East. Stop, you’re killing me.

So Turkiye and Hungary now have many common incentives to work together and bolster trade, military, and political alliances. The enemy of my enemy is my friend. And realize that Turkey is in the stronger position here for a host of reasons.

Moving on now to the earthquakes in Southern Turkiye and Syria, which have since claimed over 28,000 lives— the tally likely being higher by the time you read this.

I did note that Hungary has been quick to aid while the EU, Turkiye’s NATO “partner,” has been accused of being slow to provide support. Weird, heh?

What is worth noting is that Turkish TV has run reports accusing US led NATO of using the HAARP (High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program) weapon to create the earthquakes. If you don’t know what HAARP is, look it up. Actually, feel free to read more about it and don’t blame me for sleepless nights. It’s kinda nuts. This accusation came from a local mayor in Turkiye.

IB Times recently wrote an article on this. Turkey Earthquake Caused by US-Backed HAARP Attack? Conspiracy Theories as Strange Blue Lightening Seen in Skies Seconds Before First Earthquake

To be clear, we’ve no idea one way or the other here as I can’t even figure out how my microwave turns my cold coffee into pallet scorching, scaling coffee, and that’s not even the point. THIS is the point. If the Turks and indeed their allies believe that HAARP was used, then it is THAT which matters. In other words, their response in blaming the US for this tragedy highlights the incredibly fragile “ally” that Turkiye is to the West. It is worth remembering that the ever politically promiscuous Erdy has the second largest military in the NATO alliance, second to the US. Their ultimate withdrawal from NATO (which is coming as sure as night follows day) will be a severe blow to the hegemon. Right now, the risks are significant since the West knows this and recognises that losing Turkiye is incredibly significant. It’s hard to imagine they’re not panicking right now and THAT is very worrisome. I suspect it’s why they are pressing harder rather than trying to reduce tensions.

One thing that does stand out for me when viewing this fiasco is that the economic consequences of this war are of concern to Russia (Putin himself highlighted this multiple times prior to the military operation) but also to Turkiye and its neighbors. This appears to be in stark contrast with American-led NATO policies, where so far the economic costs have been not only ignored but an active gaslighting of the public campaign has been deployed insuring the hoi-polloi that inflation is either transitory, good, or not a problem. Shut up and be grateful, you serfs!

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