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Seed Oils

Leading Nutrition Experts May Have Falsified Consumption Data In Widely Cited Seed Oil Study

Table of Contents

JAMA Internal Medicine published the first-ever study comparing butter to seed oils. But did they fake their data?

Time and again, I’ve seen supposedly peer-reviewed studies making claims in the abstract and conclusion that their data tables do not support. Especially seed oil studies. This latest journal is one of the worst examples I’ve come across. I’m going to break it down in this article.

This paper is especially important. It’s the first, to my knowledge, to compare seed oils head to head with butter. More than 70 years have passed since health authorities started recommending we swap out butter for seed oils. In all that time, our authorities said they had studies showing that seed oils had health benefits over butter. But they didn’t.

Previous studies lumped butter in with other animal fats. Or they investigated saturated fat rather than any whole food. Similarly, they lumped the collection of problematic seed oils I call the Hateful Eight together with olive oil and other plant fats. Or they investigated linoleic acid rather than any whole food.

This article is continued below…(scroll down)


Leading Nutrition Experts May Have Falsified Consumption Data In Widely Cited Seed Oil Study

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So this truly is a first. At least to my knowledge.

Now, let’s talk about why it’s making headlines.

The authors claim swapping out just 10 grams of butter for seed oil each day increases your risk of mortality by 17%.

That’s a huge effect.

Given that the average American eats 1000 grams of butter every year, by extension, that means complete butter avoidance should reduce our mortality by 170 percent!

Biohackers, check this out. Forget your neurotropics, supplement stacks, and laser light treatments; just cut out butter and eat canola oil. That one change gets you a negative 70% chance of dying, which, honestly, is a little confusing but sounds better than the usual odds.

Now, I’m no statistician, but that’s pretty improbable. I suppose there could be something about the statistics that an expert can point to that could explain how this simple calculation is an improper extrapolation of something that should not be extrapolated upon. Ok, a fair point. But that’s hardly the only funky math I found in this paper.

Avoiding butter reduces total mortality and cancer mortality by 17%, while also reducing heart disease mortality.

Total mortality includes cancer mortality and heart disease mortality. So when they say total mortality and cancer mortality can be cut by 17 percent by avoiding butter, that means all the excess deaths the seed-oil eaters avoided come from cancer. But, yet the authors also claim that heart disease deaths were reduced as well.  That would mean seed oils confer a less than zero chance of dying.

Holy canola! They’ve cracked the immortality code! Of course, they wouldn’t say something that flashy. Academic papers have certain standards.

Speaking of which, let’s talk about the data.

Butter and Seed Oil Intakes Difficult to Believe.

Let’s start with the butter data from the Nurses’ Health Study.

According to Table 1, a pound of butter would feed most families for years.

Butter and seed oil consumption from Table 1 of JAMAs butter study

The paper reports that the median butter serving of 53,415 of the 63,108 people surveyed in 2002 was 0.1 grams per day. In a year, they’d eat 36.5 grams per day. But wait, the average butter consumption in the US around that time was 1000 grams per day! [see table 1 in this article for data] So they’re asking us to believe that the vast majority, 82% or so, consumed so much less butter than average that it’s statistically a miracle that they found so many of them.

It’s been a while since I took my two-credit course on statistics in med school, but I think the proper term to describe that kind of result starts with a B and ends with an S.

The same table in the paper, Table 1, also reports butter consumption from two other very large data sets: the Nurses’ Health Study II (NHSII) and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS). The results are nearly identical to the NHS study. At least 80 percent of participants reported a median consumption of 0.2 and 0.1 grams per day in the NHSII and HPFS, respectively.

Next, let’s look at the seed oil data from the Nurses’ Health Study.

The paper reports that the median serving of seed oil for a majority, 37,266 of the 63,108 people surveyed, in 2002 was 1.8 grams per day. In a year, they’d consume 657 grams. That’s just under half of one of those 24-ounce bottles you can buy for $4 or so. But here again, when we compare to the average person’s estimated consumption, we see a discrepancy [see table 1 in this paper]. In 1999, the average person’s soy and canola consumption was 12,900 grams per year. That’s 20 times higher than the majority of Nurses’ Health Study participants. Also. Not. Believable.

The same goes for the two other studies. We’re asked to believe that a majority of participants consumed so much less seed oil than average that their total reported consumption amounts to a rounding error in the average consumption at that time.

JAMA data versus national average from Blasbalg et al
JAMA data versus national average from Blasbalg et al. The JAMA data graphed here shows the consumption for the lowest quartiles of the NHS study. The lowest quartile of butter consumption represented more than 80 percent of participants, making for a crazy lopsided quartile distribution as well as an unbelievably low median intake.  The lowest quartile of seed oil consumption represented 60 percent of participants, which is still a very lopsided quartile distribution and equally unbelievably low median intake.

What should we make of these reported butter and seed oil consumption discrepancies?

These discrepancies are puzzling. Why didn’t the authors bring them up?

I can think of two reasons. Either they were completely unaware of average consumption levels. Or they did not want to highlight the fact that their data appears to deviate so far from reality that it’s simply not believable. If it’s option one, then we have people calling themselves nutrition experts who are not. If its option two, we have dishonest people running the nutrition conversation. Heck, they might even fill in the data tables with fake numbers if they think they can get away with it!

Even if they didn’t print fake consumption data, it’s clearly wrong. When the data is wrong, the conclusions cannot be trusted. It’s hard to believe this article got published, but even harder to believe that nobody else has pointed this out!

The average calorie intake is also strikingly low.

Check out the calorie data reported under “Total energy intake, kcal/d” in the table I copied above. Participants, who are all women in this study, ate 1682 calories per day. At the time, the average American woman was getting 1877 calories daily. This represents 200 calories fewer than average.

The biggest names in nutrition science are misleading us.

You might expect that a deviant article like this would come from a group of hacks at a minor university. But take a look. The authors include some of the biggest names in nutrition science, and five of the six are at Harvard. Walter Willett has over 2,000 publications, and Frank Hu has over 1500.

Here’s the bottom line: Nutrition science is no longer science.

Leading nutrition scientists chuffed out a fundamentally flawed article and are not being held accountable (so far). This article is being used to support the continued production and usage of seed oils by every consumer and every processed food company. This is hardly the first flawed article reporting on seed oils. It’s time for dietitians, doctors, and patients who trust these licensed health professionals to wake up. Nutrition science has been completely hijacked by the processed food industry, which fuels the diseases that the pharmaceutical industry feeds upon.

Want to know who to trust? Trust your own sense of logic. Trust you.

Related Posts:

Read about the real cause of heart disease. It’s not butter.

Read about the harms of cholesterol-lowering drugs: here, here, here, and here.

Have a burning question about good fats and bad? The answers are on this page.

Want to know why seed oils are so unhealthy? I’ve answered those questions, too, right here.

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This article has been archived by Conspiracy Resource for your research. The original version from Cate Shanahan, M.D. can be found here.